28 December 2011

Non Convertible Preference Shares III

[This is an update of a previous post.]

Traded on the SGX, NCPS are traded like shares (which means the bid-ask price fluctuates), but gives out dividend/coupon payments like bonds.  There aren't that many such NCPS, and they're most likely from the 3 big banks in Singapore. So long as the issuers don't call back their NCPS, they will continue to pay out the dividends at the stated rate.  However, some of these have 'maturity' dates where the coupon rate reverts to a floating rate thereafter.  Prior to the maturity date, the bank cannot call back the NCPS.

The risk of failure stems from the issuing company going down under (you lose your pants!), or when it fails to pay out any dividends for their standard shares resulting in no dividend payout for their NCPS as well. However, the likelihood of these negative events appear slim given the strong historical performance of these Singapore banks.  But then again, we've seen also big banks in the US going down under in recent history!

If one is not worried about the fluctuations of the "capital", and is happy with the dividend/coupon payout, NCPS may not be a bad option for building a "cashflow" stream.  So long as the issuer doesn't call back the NCPS, you will get the annual payout (usually half-yearly or quarterly) perpetually.  If they do call back the NCPS, you will get back the par value anyway.

Below are the respective NCPS.  Read as such:
[Date of maturity] @ [Rate] ([Dividend/Coupon payout date])

Hyflux 6.0% - Cumulative NCPS
- 25 Apr 2018 @ 6% (25 Apr, 25 Oct)
- Thereafter @ 8% (25 Apr, 25 Oct)

DBS 4.7%
- 22 Nov 2020 @ 4.7% (22 May, 22 Nov)
- Thereafter @ 3-mth SOR + 2.28% (15 Feb, 15 May, 15 Aug, 15 Nov)

UOB 5.05%
- 15 Sep 2013 @ 5.05% (15 Mar, 15 Sep)
- 15 Sep 2018 @ as above [2nd maturity date]

OCC 5.1%
- 20 Sep 2018 @ 5.1% (20 Mar, 20 Sep)
- Thereafter @ 3-mth SOR + 2.5% (20 Mar, 20 Jun, 20 Sep, 20 Dec)

OCC 3.93%
- 20 Mar 2015 @ 3.93% (20 Mar, 20 Sep)
- Thereafter @ 3-mth SOR + 1.85% (20 Mar, 20 Jun, 20 Sep, 20 Dec)

OCBC 5.1%
- 29 Mar 2013 @ 5.1% (20 Jun, 20 Dec)

OCBC 4.5%
- 28 Jan 2013 @ 4.5% (20 Jun, 20 Dec)

OCBC 4.2%
- 14 Jan 2013 @ 4.2% (20 Jun, 20 Dec)

SOR refers to the Swap Offer Rate.

For an elaboration to understand about these preference shares, you may want to examine this talk on Comparing Bonds from an SIAS MyMoney investor education programme.

For the latest, refer to SGX List of Preference Shares.

You may also be interested in SGX List of Retail Bonds.  As an example, "LTA n4.17% 160510" means that the bond issuer is LTA at a coupon rate of 4.17% per annum and matures on 10 May 2016.

24 December 2011

Recollections of 'my' companies

It's the eve of X'mas 2011, and it's a good a time as any to take stock of events in the year that relates to companies I've taken a stake in.  It's been a horrible and unforgiving year - tsunami in Japan, massive floods in Thailand and Australia, financial crisis Part II in Europe, SMRT coming out like a disaster movie, repeated floods at various parts of Singapore, and the bird flu apparently making a come back in Hong Kong.

Adampak had one of its factory underwater in Thailand when the floods hit. 

Qian Hu is still fishing around and doing poorly this year after the European market tanked.  Fishy.

SPH failed to deliver my papers on a few occasions.  Not getting their basic service done is a bad sign.  And the long time Chairman of SPH has become the President of the Republic.

In contrast, SingPost has consistently delivered my posts.  But the amount of junk mails these days is simply amazing!  But if it keeps the postman busy, it's good?

Singtel phone bills continue to increase throughout the year as the number of handphones I owned have gone up.  How many handphones does one need?  I am still not subscribing to any M1 services.  What will LTE technology bring to their businesses?  More data traffic is the way to go, ever since the rise of the iPhone and iPad.  Long live Steve Jobs!

Still haven't bought anything from Aussino.  I think I'm still happy with my bedsheets.  The trouble is that these things can last quite a while.  I'm not hopeful about their business.

HourGlass appears to be doing decent business.  Lots of tourists visiting Singapore these days and hopefully there're there in the branded class that the newly rich patronise.

SMB United is in the midst of a takeover bid.  Remains to be seen what the outcome will be.

Global Logistics Properties has dived in on the Japanese property market in the months following the Japanese tsunami and nuclear disasters.  Looks like some smart moves.  It's going to be sometime before we see these pan out.  China and Japan are all about exports and emergent consumption.  And that means there is a logistics battle to be won.

On the property front, the cooling measures seem to be gradually taking effect.  Amazingly, the E-Condo I'm living in now appears to be going at twice the price I bought, and that was just 5 years ago.  In land scarce Singapore, this is one area where there is no room for abundance, unless technology breakthroughs bring new opportunities.  I'd stay away speculating the home properties given that these will likely continue to attract frequent policy interventions.  This is one unstable "C" among the infamous 5Cs.  But Capita-Commercial Trust and Mapletree Industrial Trust are alternatives in the commercial and industrial sectors (REITS) for a 'stable' income stream.  That's not a bad thing.

Singapore banks have stood the test of the last two rounds of financial crisis in the US and Europe.  OCBC remains healthy and I'm sure their OCC 3.93% NCPS will continue to pay out annually.  How does the future hold for SP Reinsurance and Sing Inv & Finance?  I'm living off their dividends.

Water is the business for Hyflux.  However, I certainly wouldn't hold my breadth on Hyflux itself. It had banked on the rich African market which was unfortunately aborted by the Arab Spring.  Perhaps the opportunity will present itself again.  It has tried to diversify into China and we shall see how that transpires.  But their overall business in water and waste should remain viable and hence Hyflux 6% CPS should remain ok for the steady income stream it produces.  We need to drink, and we certainly have to shit.  One can die from not being able to do either you know.

CSE Global seems to be having trouble making profits out of their software projects.  It didn't help to find their customers caught amidst the rising tide of the Arab Spring as well.

Ah China!  Who knows where things will go from here.  One can certainly see the throngs of newly rich everywhere.  And I mean everywhere.  So perhaps it's healthy to benefit from their retail growth story via Capita Retail China Trust.

Tat Hong's factory near my neighbourhood seems to have either moved, or else all their cranes have been rented.  Bad sign, good sign, depending which way it went. But they're likely benefiting from their business down in Australia.  It's a reconstruction and recovery story after the floods in Australia had receded.

When economic woes abound, and the price of oil climbs to ridiculous levels, airlines businesses are all downhill, including filings for Chapter 11 (US)!  But I believe SIA will recover and will do well again when things pick up.  But one wonders how the new management team is fairing? 

By a similar thread, SATS' future rests on the recovery of the air transportation business.  They have just secured a contract to operate the new Cruise passenger terminal.  That could perhaps help broaden their business to the sea business.  In any case, they continue to have the stable business of providing food for the SAF.  National Service is good for SATS.

Speaking of food, Brands products from CerebosPac is a must have booster for kids preparing for exams.  What a year of exams!  That's a lot of Brands Essence of Chicken.  It also appears to be one of those staple items for hospitalisation gifts as well.  Students and hospitals, it's all about people!

Kian Ann, Innotek, Teck Wah and Meiban Gp?  Waiting for the manufacturing and engineering to recover perhaps.

With Certificate of Entitlements rising to epic proportion, car ownership has become another that has gone beyond-the-line-of-sight "C" for followers of the 5Cs.  But they all need to go for annual inspections, and the number of cars aren't getting any less despite this.  VICOM for next buy?

Merry X'mas!